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Items · rolling 7 days

Active Reload

weapon · Tier 2 · 1,600 souls

Win rate

51.7%

95% CI 51.6–51.8

Matches

538,429

bought, last 7 days

Win-rate rank

#60

of 156 items

Usage rank

#102

of 156 items

This week vs last week

Genuinely weaker this week — win rate down about 0.9 points (52.7% → 51.7%). This is a real move, not random weekly noise.

p < 0.000001 — the odds a swing this big is just luck — low enough to clear our bar for calling a change real.

Win rate by when it was bought

  • Before 10 min53.7% (53.5–53.8, 329,511)
  • 10–20 min49.3% (49.0–49.5, 167,786)
  • After 20 min46.5% (46.0–46.9, 45,247)

Buying it later goes with a lower win rate (7.2pp) — a real gap, but remember late buys usually mean you were already ahead.

Read this before trusting the number

An item's win rate is correlational. Expensive late-game items post high win rates largely because you only complete them when your team is already ahead — not because the item is what won the game. Use it to see what the strong builds tend to include, not as a causal "buy this to win" ranking.

Win rate is the share of matches won when this item was bought, over a rolling 7-day window; the trend compares it to the 7 days before with a Bonferroni-corrected two-proportion z-test so a normal weekly wobble isn't reported as a shift. Data from deadlock-api.com, refreshed hourly.

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