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Items · rolling 7 days

Magic Carpet

spirit · Tier 4 · 6,400 souls

Win rate

55.9%

95% CI 55.6–56.2

Matches

89,600

bought, last 7 days

Win-rate rank

#20

of 156 items

Usage rank

#153

of 156 items

This week vs last week

Genuinely weaker this week — win rate down about 0.9 points (56.8% → 55.9%). This is a real move, not random weekly noise.

p = 4.4e-5 — the odds a swing this big is just luck — low enough to clear our bar for calling a change real.

Win rate by when it was bought

  • 10–20 min52.2% (51.5–53.0, 15,618)
  • After 20 min56.7% (56.4–57.1, 74,348)

Buying it later goes with a higher win rate (4.5pp) — a real gap, but remember late buys usually mean you were already ahead.

Read this before trusting the number

An item's win rate is correlational. Expensive late-game items post high win rates largely because you only complete them when your team is already ahead — not because the item is what won the game. Use it to see what the strong builds tend to include, not as a causal "buy this to win" ranking.

Win rate is the share of matches won when this item was bought, over a rolling 7-day window; the trend compares it to the 7 days before with a Bonferroni-corrected two-proportion z-test so a normal weekly wobble isn't reported as a shift. Data from deadlock-api.com, refreshed hourly.

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