Items · rolling 7 days
Rusted Barrel
spirit · Tier 1 · 800 souls
Win rate
45.0%
95% CI 44.8–45.2
Matches
195,702
bought, last 7 days
Win-rate rank
#154
of 156 items
Usage rank
#139
of 156 items
This week vs last week
Genuinely stronger this week — win rate up about 0.6 points (44.4% → 45.0%). This is a real move, not random weekly noise.
p = 2.1e-4 — the odds a swing this big is just luck — low enough to clear our bar for calling a change real.
Win rate by when it was bought
- Before 10 min49.2% (48.9–49.5, 98,249)
- 10–20 min43.0% (42.5–43.4, 47,791)
- After 20 min39.0% (38.5–39.4, 51,103)
Buying it later goes with a lower win rate (10.2pp) — a real gap, but remember late buys usually mean you were already ahead.
Read this before trusting the number
An item's win rate is correlational. Expensive late-game items post high win rates largely because you only complete them when your team is already ahead — not because the item is what won the game. Use it to see what the strong builds tend to include, not as a causal "buy this to win" ranking.
Win rate is the share of matches won when this item was bought, over a rolling 7-day window; the trend compares it to the 7 days before with a Bonferroni-corrected two-proportion z-test so a normal weekly wobble isn't reported as a shift. Data from deadlock-api.com, refreshed hourly.