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Heroes · rolling 7 days

Celeste

Win rate

48.5%

95% CI 48.3–48.6

Pick rate

2.7%

share of matches

Matches

318,436

last 7 days

Win-rate rank

#25

of 44 ranked

This week vs last week

Genuinely weaker this week — win rate down about 0.5 points (49.0% → 48.5%). This is a real move, not random weekly noise.

p = 1.7e-5 — the odds a swing this big is just luck — low enough to clear our bar for calling a change real.

Lane partners that matter

  • Graves56.9% · −550 souls @15m
  • Rat King54.9% · +177 souls @15m
  • Paige53.9% · −611 souls @15m
  • Victor53.1% · −208 souls @15m
  • Baba52.7% · −422 souls @15m
  • Seven52.6% · −704 souls @15m
  • Paradox44.4% · −850 souls @15m
  • Warden44.1% · −489 souls @15m
  • The Doorman44.0% · −859 souls @15m
  • Rem43.9% · −577 souls @15m
  • Pocket43.0% · −84 souls @15m
  • Mina42.2% · −525 souls @15m

Duo-lane pairings over the last 14 days. Listed only when the win rate is provably off 50% AND at least 2 points from even — a 50.4% duo over 100k games is true but not worth your pick.

By rank

47.2% Low · 50.0% Mid · 51.2% High

Celeste really scales up with rank — a 4.1pp gap that clears our significance bar. All heroes by rank →

Matchups that matter · real and ≥2 points off even

Strong against

Struggles against

Only matchups whose win rate is far enough off an even 50% to be real over 43 tested opponents (Bonferroni-corrected). A big edge on few games is a wide error bar, not a counter — those stay hidden.

Teammates that matter · real and ≥2 points off even

Best paired with

Drags down

Duo win rate on the same team, shown only where it's significantly off 50% over 43 tested partners (Bonferroni-corrected). Correlational, not causal — good players may simply favour the pairing.

Most-built items

Ranked by how often players include the item in a Celeste build (deadlock-api.com). This is popularity, not win rate — open an item to see whether it's actually winning.

Most-played skill order

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
Light EaterDazzling TrickRadiant DaggersShining Wonder

The order players spent ability points most often on Celeste — 84,913 matches, 54% win rate. Popularity, not a recommendation.

Win rate is over a rolling 7-day window; the trend compares it to the 7 days before, with a Bonferroni-corrected two-proportion z-test so a normal weekly wobble isn't reported as a shift. Data from deadlock-api.com, refreshed hourly.

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